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Thursday, September 3, 2009

CFD Trading Strategy - Symmetrical Triangles Downside Breakout

By Jeff Cartridge

The symmetrical triangle can be traded on the short side entering the trade as the stock breaks out of the pattern to the downside. The pattern forms when the two boundary lines that contain the price movement converge to a point. The bottom line slopes up toward the top line which slopes down. Both lines have nearly the same slope as each other which is why the pattern is called symmetrical.

Symmetrical Triangles Can Be Profitable Short

The symmetrical triangle can be traded both long and short and when it does break down, historically 45% of the time, it can be profitable. A symmetrical triangle breakout to the downside is not as reliable as a breakout to the upside with only 44% of the trades being profitable. The average profits are just 0.33% in 9 days.

Specific Setups to Improve Profitability

As you would expect a break to the downside works better in a falling sector and market environment. By using filters that require the market, stock and the sector to be in a consolidation or a down trend you can improve the results.

A breakout from a symmetrical triangle is best if it occurs later in the pattern, but not near the start. The best trades occur when a down side break occurs after the stock bounces off the lower boundary and drops back before hitting the upper boundary.

If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way down is higher than the volume on the way up. Better breakouts occur when the stock closes lower than the previous day.

Symmetrical Triangles Can Be Profitable

Following a series of simple rules to determine which symmetrical triangle to trade can improve results dramatically. By applying these filters symmetrical triangles are profitable on 47% of the trades and return an average of 1.58% per trade in 9 days. This is a profitable pattern to trade.

Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23211

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